Since the election of the coalition government, the defence ICT industry has been waiting with bated breath for the National Security Strategy (NSS) and the Strategic Defence & Security Review (SDSR). The publication of these documents two weeks ago ended a long period of uncertainty and provided some initial hints on how this crucial economic sector can prepare for the future.
Yet, not all news coming out of the SDSR is positive. In addition to the cancellation of two C4ISTAR/Information Superiority (IS) projects – the Nimrod MRA4 and the Sentinel – the SDSR fails to provide a clear guide to its defence capability needs over the next decade.
The NSS asserts that ‘the new national security council has reached a conclusion that Britain’s national interest requires us to reject any notion of the shrinkage of our influence’. This assertion is backed up by the mantra that the UK will retain the skills and ability to regenerate and reconstitute the capabilities it has been forced to cut once the economy revives.
On the surface, these statements could provide a degree of assurance to the defence ICT industry. However, capability regeneration/reconstitution and the ability for the MoD to obtain its stated aim of ‘Future Force 2020’ (a force characterised by flexibility, adaptability, and connectedness) is wholly dependent on the mid-decade state of the economy. This is a huge uncertainty for the defence ICT industry to place its bets on.
So while the NSS and SDSR represent a first step forward in what has been over a year of uncertainty, many questions remain unanswered and new questions have emerged.
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